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Cumberland, ME · ZIP 04021 · Census Tract 23005004202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$641K
Downside (P10)
$495K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$652K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$951K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $395K | $445K | $523K | $586K | $646K | $641K | $643K | $657K | $652K | $670K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$245,757 | -$196,257 | -$118,057 | -$55,557 | +$4,743 | +$1,508 | +$15,797 | +$10,906 | +$28,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.3% | -30.6% | -18.4% | -8.7% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $513K | $480K | $495K | $594K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $816K | $880K | $951K | $745K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$513K to $816K
47.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$594K to $745K
22.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | +2.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 000500) | $648K | $740K | +14.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 001500) | $650K | $742K | +14.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 000200) | $637K | $711K | +11.6% | |
| Scarborough | $634K | $668K | +5.4% | |
| Portland (Tract 000300) | $641K | $653K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | +2.1% | |
| Long Island area | $669K | $795K | +18.9% | |
| South Portland | $657K | $780K | +18.7% | |
| Brunswick | $386K | $451K | +16.9% | |
| Westbrook | $426K | $495K | +16.2% | |
| Portland | $432K | $501K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | $455K | |
| Westbrook | $306K | $338K | $168K | |
| South Portland | $345K | $370K | $152K | |
| Brunswick | $240K | $256K | $151K | |
| Baldwin area | $289K | $299K | $149K | |
| Harrison | $252K | $263K | $140K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Cumberland, ME · ZIP 04021 · Census Tract 23005004202 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$641K
Downside (P10)
$495K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$652K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$951K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $395K | $445K | $523K | $586K | $646K | $641K | $643K | $657K | $652K | $670K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$245,757 | -$196,257 | -$118,057 | -$55,557 | +$4,743 | +$1,508 | +$15,797 | +$10,906 | +$28,728 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -38.3% | -30.6% | -18.4% | -8.7% | +0.7% | +0.2% | +2.5% | +1.7% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $513K | $480K | $495K | $594K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $816K | $880K | $951K | $745K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$513K to $816K
47.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$594K to $745K
22.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | +2.1% | |
| Portland (Tract 000500) | $648K | $740K | +14.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 001500) | $650K | $742K | +14.2% | |
| Portland (Tract 000200) | $637K | $711K | +11.6% | |
| Scarborough | $634K | $668K | +5.4% | |
| Portland (Tract 000300) | $641K | $653K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | +2.1% | |
| Long Island area | $669K | $795K | +18.9% | |
| South Portland | $657K | $780K | +18.7% | |
| Brunswick | $386K | $451K | +16.9% | |
| Westbrook | $426K | $495K | +16.2% | |
| Portland | $432K | $501K | +16.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chebeague Island | $639K | $652K | $455K | |
| Westbrook | $306K | $338K | $168K | |
| South Portland | $345K | $370K | $152K | |
| Brunswick | $240K | $256K | $151K | |
| Baldwin area | $289K | $299K | $149K | |
| Harrison | $252K | $263K | $140K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
