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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Talbot, MD · ZIP 21601 · Census Tract 24041960201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$694K
Downside (P10)
$615K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$729K
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.05M
+51% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +51%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $587K | $577K | $577K | $626K | $587K | $565K | $554K | $649K | $667K | $693K | $694K | $715K | $716K | $729K |
| YoY Change | -1.7% | +0.0% | +8.5% | -6.2% | -3.8% | -1.9% | +17.2% | +2.7% | +3.9% | +0.3% | +3.0% | +0.1% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $635K | $637K | $615K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $887K | $986K | $1.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$635K to $887K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$615K to $1.05M
59.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Easton · Easton · (Tract 9602.1) | $715K | $729K | +1.9% | |
| 4, Chapel | $372K | $419K | +12.7% | |
| 2, St. Michaels (Tract 960600) | $863K | $957K | +10.8% | |
| 5, Bay Hundred | $488K | $538K | +10.2% | |
| 2, St. Michaels (Tract 960700) | $636K | $666K | +4.8% | |
| 3, Trappe | $495K | $508K | +2.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Easton · Easton · (Tract 9602.1) | $715K | $729K | +1.9% | |
| Easton (Tract 960400) | $316K | $357K | +13.2% | |
| 4, Chapel | $372K | $419K | +12.7% | |
| 2, St. Michaels | $863K | $957K | +10.8% | |
| Easton (Tract 960300) | $361K | $398K | +10.3% | |
| 5, Bay Hundred | $488K | $538K | +10.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Easton · Easton · (Tract 9602.1) | $715K | $729K | $430K | |
| 1, Easton (Tract 960501) | $359K | $377K | $239K | |
| Easton (Tract 960300) | $361K | $398K | $238K | |
| 1, Easton (Tract 960502) | $341K | $357K | $215K | |
| 4, Chapel | $372K | $419K | $198K | |
| Easton (Tract 960400) | $316K | $357K | $191K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.