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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Montgomery, MD · ZIP 20904 · Census Tract 24031701506 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$607K
Downside (P10)
$471K
-22% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$668K
+10% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$842K
+39% by 2030
Base case: +10% by 2030, with a forecast range from -22% to +39%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $446K | $448K | $463K | $484K | $494K | $505K | $516K | $561K | $587K | $608K | $607K | $627K | $658K | $668K |
| YoY Change | +0.5% | +3.2% | +4.5% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +8.6% | +4.6% | +3.7% | -0.2% | +3.3% | +5.0% | +1.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $466K | $456K | $471K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $737K | $774K | $842K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$466K to $737K
43.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$471K to $842K
55.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | $611K | $668K | +9.3% | |
| Rockville | $608K | $683K | +12.3% | |
| North Kensington | $611K | $669K | +9.5% | |
| Silver Spring | $611K | $648K | +6.1% | |
| Olney (Tract 701312) | $611K | $639K | +4.6% | |
| Olney (Tract 701314) | $612K | $639K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | $611K | $668K | +9.3% | |
| 2 | $734K | $892K | +21.5% | |
| Silver Spring | $504K | $611K | +21.2% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703213) | $278K | $333K | +19.6% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703220) | $391K | $466K | +19.3% | |
| Leisure World | $291K | $345K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | $611K | $668K | $371K | |
| Germantown | $341K | $381K | $162K | |
| 9 | $392K | $421K | $162K | |
| Montgomery Village | $221K | $231K | $152K | |
| Leisure World | $241K | $250K | $135K | |
| Gaithersburg | $167K | $182K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.