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Montgomery, MD · ZIP 20874 · Census Tract 24031700310 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$401K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$531K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $231K | $274K | $303K | $322K | $327K | $351K | $347K | $364K | $347K | $358K | $361K | $375K | $387K | $401K | $372K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$129,397 | -$86,597 | -$57,597 | -$38,697 | -$34,097 | -$9,497 | -$13,797 | +$3,603 | -$13,797 | -$2,497 | +$14,503 | +$26,012 | +$40,469 | +$11,432 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.9% | -24.0% | -16.0% | -10.7% | -9.5% | -2.6% | -3.8% | +1.0% | -3.8% | -0.7% | +4.0% | +7.2% | +11.2% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $321K | $321K | $333K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $450K | $492K | $531K | $411K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$320K to $450K
34.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$333K to $411K
21.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | +12.3% | |
| Gaithersburg | $347K | $399K | +15.2% | |
| Fairland | $365K | $414K | +13.4% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700815) | $366K | $407K | +11.1% | |
| 9 | $376K | $409K | +9.0% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700309) | $370K | $380K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | +12.3% | |
| 2 | $734K | $892K | +21.5% | |
| Silver Spring (Tract 701602) | $504K | $611K | +21.2% | |
| Silver Spring (Tract 702000) | $405K | $478K | +18.0% | |
| North Bethesda | $477K | $559K | +17.1% | |
| Germantown | $380K | $444K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | $210K | |
| Germantown (Tract 700614) | $333K | $373K | $172K | |
| Germantown (Tract 700834) | $341K | $381K | $162K | |
| 9 | $392K | $421K | $162K | |
| Montgomery Village | $221K | $231K | $152K | |
| Gaithersburg | $167K | $182K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Montgomery, MD · ZIP 20874 · Census Tract 24031700310 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$361K
Downside (P10)
$321K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$401K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$531K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $231K | $274K | $303K | $322K | $327K | $351K | $347K | $364K | $347K | $358K | $361K | $375K | $387K | $401K | $372K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$129,397 | -$86,597 | -$57,597 | -$38,697 | -$34,097 | -$9,497 | -$13,797 | +$3,603 | -$13,797 | -$2,497 | +$14,503 | +$26,012 | +$40,469 | +$11,432 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.9% | -24.0% | -16.0% | -10.7% | -9.5% | -2.6% | -3.8% | +1.0% | -3.8% | -0.7% | +4.0% | +7.2% | +11.2% | +3.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $321K | $321K | $333K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $450K | $492K | $531K | $411K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$320K to $450K
34.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$333K to $411K
21.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | +12.3% | |
| Gaithersburg | $347K | $399K | +15.2% | |
| Fairland | $365K | $414K | +13.4% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700815) | $366K | $407K | +11.1% | |
| 9 | $376K | $409K | +9.0% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700309) | $370K | $380K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | +12.3% | |
| 2 | $734K | $892K | +21.5% | |
| Silver Spring (Tract 701602) | $504K | $611K | +21.2% | |
| Silver Spring (Tract 702000) | $405K | $478K | +18.0% | |
| North Bethesda | $477K | $559K | +17.1% | |
| Germantown | $380K | $444K | +16.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germantown | $357K | $401K | $210K | |
| Germantown (Tract 700614) | $333K | $373K | $172K | |
| Germantown (Tract 700834) | $341K | $381K | $162K | |
| 9 | $392K | $421K | $162K | |
| Montgomery Village | $221K | $231K | $152K | |
| Gaithersburg | $167K | $182K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
