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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Montgomery, MD · ZIP 20817 · Census Tract 24031706012 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$329K
Downside (P10)
$290K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$350K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$465K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $274K | $274K | $279K | $282K | $293K | $300K | $312K | $340K | $348K | $325K | $329K | $335K | $342K | $350K |
| YoY Change | -0.1% | +2.0% | +1.1% | +4.0% | +2.4% | +3.8% | +9.0% | +2.4% | -6.6% | +1.2% | +1.8% | +2.1% | +2.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $306K | $300K | $290K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $394K | $421K | $465K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$306K to $394K
26.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$290K to $465K
50.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · Bethesda · (Tract 7060.12) | $326K | $350K | +7.5% | |
| 9 | $338K | $392K | +16.0% | |
| Gaithersburg | $347K | $399K | +15.2% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700614) | $333K | $373K | +12.0% | |
| Germantown (Tract 700834) | $341K | $381K | +11.6% | |
| North Bethesda | $314K | $342K | +8.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · Bethesda · (Tract 7060.12) | $326K | $350K | +7.5% | |
| 2 | $734K | $892K | +21.5% | |
| Silver Spring | $504K | $611K | +21.2% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703213) | $278K | $333K | +19.6% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703220) | $391K | $466K | +19.3% | |
| Leisure World | $291K | $345K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · Bethesda · (Tract 7060.12) | $326K | $350K | $176K | |
| Germantown | $341K | $381K | $162K | |
| 9 | $392K | $421K | $162K | |
| Montgomery Village | $221K | $231K | $152K | |
| Leisure World | $241K | $250K | $135K | |
| Gaithersburg | $167K | $182K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.