Loading forecast data...
Ready to see your forecast?
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Loading forecast data...
Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Montgomery, MD · ZIP 20854 · Census Tract 24031706011 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.14M
Downside (P10)
$927K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.20M
+5% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.47M
+30% by 2030
Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +30%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $875K | $888K | $895K | $896K | $883K | $880K | $900K | $991K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.2M |
| YoY Change | +1.4% | +0.8% | +0.1% | -1.4% | -0.3% | +2.3% | +10.1% | +8.3% | +4.1% | +1.8% | +2.6% | -0.1% | +2.8% | -3.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $955K | $970K | $927K | $1.0M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$955K to $1.40M
38.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.02M to $1.30M
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · 20854 · (Tract 7060.11) | $1.11M | $1.20M | +7.5% | |
| Bethesda (Tract 704503) | $1.10M | $1.22M | +11.4% | |
| Bethesda (Tract 704502) | $1.14M | $1.26M | +10.0% | |
| Bethesda (Tract 705601) | $1.15M | $1.20M | +4.6% | |
| 13 | $1.11M | $1.09M | -1.3% | |
| Bethesda (Tract 704600) | $1.16M | $1.11M | -4.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · 20854 · (Tract 7060.11) | $1.11M | $1.20M | +7.5% | |
| 2 | $734K | $892K | +21.5% | |
| Silver Spring | $504K | $611K | +21.2% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703213) | $278K | $333K | +19.6% | |
| Aspen Hill (Tract 703220) | $391K | $466K | +19.3% | |
| Leisure World | $291K | $345K | +18.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Potomac · 20854 · (Tract 7060.11) | $1.11M | $1.20M | $548K | |
| Germantown | $341K | $381K | $162K | |
| 9 | $392K | $421K | $162K | |
| Montgomery Village | $221K | $231K | $152K | |
| Leisure World | $241K | $250K | $135K | |
| Gaithersburg | $167K | $182K | $92K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.