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Howard, MD · ZIP 21075 · Census Tract 24027601205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$389K
Downside (P10)
$336K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$436K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$517K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $290K | $277K | $308K | $374K | $373K | $389K | $403K | $410K | $436K | $392K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,880 | -$111,980 | -$81,180 | -$15,080 | -$16,080 | +$13,163 | +$20,912 | +$46,981 | +$2,301 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.7% | -28.8% | -20.8% | -3.9% | -4.1% | +3.4% | +5.4% | +12.1% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $353K | $342K | $336K | $351K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $475K | $520K | $517K | $435K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$353K to $475K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$351K to $435K
21.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606606) | $404K | $475K | +17.8% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606704) | $390K | $443K | +13.6% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606708) | $389K | $413K | +6.1% | |
| 6, Savage | $377K | $396K | +5.0% | |
| North Laurel | $401K | $399K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| 1, Elkridge | $471K | $569K | +20.9% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606804) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| 4, Lisbon | $801K | $949K | +18.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606606) | $404K | $475K | +17.8% | |
| Ellicott City | $641K | $750K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | $181K | |
| 6, Savage | $377K | $396K | $224K | |
| Columbia | $363K | $379K | $210K | |
| Ilchester | $437K | $484K | $192K | |
| North Laurel (Tract 606907) | $287K | $309K | $179K | |
| North Laurel (Tract 606906) | $401K | $399K | $171K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Howard, MD · ZIP 21075 · Census Tract 24027601205 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$389K
Downside (P10)
$336K
-14% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$436K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$517K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $290K | $277K | $308K | $374K | $373K | $389K | $403K | $410K | $436K | $392K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$99,880 | -$111,980 | -$81,180 | -$15,080 | -$16,080 | +$13,163 | +$20,912 | +$46,981 | +$2,301 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -25.7% | -28.8% | -20.8% | -3.9% | -4.1% | +3.4% | +5.4% | +12.1% | +0.6% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $353K | $342K | $336K | $351K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $475K | $520K | $517K | $435K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$353K to $475K
30.4% of median
Long-horizon band
$351K to $435K
21.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606606) | $404K | $475K | +17.8% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606704) | $390K | $443K | +13.6% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606708) | $389K | $413K | +6.1% | |
| 6, Savage | $377K | $396K | +5.0% | |
| North Laurel | $401K | $399K | -0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | +14.4% | |
| 1, Elkridge | $471K | $569K | +20.9% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606804) | $510K | $616K | +20.8% | |
| 4, Lisbon | $801K | $949K | +18.5% | |
| Columbia (Tract 606606) | $404K | $475K | +17.8% | |
| Ellicott City | $641K | $750K | +17.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elkridge | $381K | $436K | $181K | |
| 6, Savage | $377K | $396K | $224K | |
| Columbia | $363K | $379K | $210K | |
| Ilchester | $437K | $484K | $192K | |
| North Laurel (Tract 606907) | $287K | $309K | $179K | |
| North Laurel (Tract 606906) | $401K | $399K | $171K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
