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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Harford, MD · ZIP 21040 · Census Tract 24025301601 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$241K
Downside (P10)
$198K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$271K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$350K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $158K | $155K | $163K | $164K | $165K | $187K | $191K | $219K | $247K | $236K | $241K | $248K | $265K | $271K | $246K |
| YoY Change | -1.9% | +5.0% | +0.6% | +0.9% | +13.6% | +2.2% | +14.3% | +12.8% | -4.4% | +2.2% | +2.8% | +6.8% | +2.3% | -9.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $208K | $213K | $198K | $218K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $303K | $320K | $350K | $279K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$208K to $303K
38.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$218K to $279K
24.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $239K | $271K | +13.5% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $237K | $270K | +14.0% | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | +9.4% | |
| Riverside (Tract 301705) | $253K | $276K | +8.9% | |
| Riverside (Tract 301704) | $238K | $252K | +6.2% | |
| Bel Air South | $278K | $292K | +5.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $239K | $271K | +13.5% | |
| 4, Marshall | $461K | $541K | +17.2% | |
| 3, Bel Air | $422K | $495K | +17.2% | |
| 5, Dublin | $418K | $486K | +16.1% | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $368K | $426K | +15.6% | |
| 1, Abingdon | $327K | $374K | +14.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgewood | $239K | $271K | $152K | |
| Joppatowne | $324K | $348K | $150K | |
| 3, Bel Air | $292K | $315K | $145K | |
| Aberdeen | $236K | $258K | $140K | |
| Edgewood | $191K | $219K | $131K | |
| 2, Halls Cross Roads | $160K | $181K | $85K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.