County 24745, MD · Census Tract 24745004541 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$989K
Downside (P10)
$695K
-30% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.32M
+33% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.04M
+106% by 2030
Base case: +33% by 2030, with a forecast range from -30% to +106%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 24745 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $989K | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
| YoY Change | +8.1% | +5.0% | +7.8% | +8.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $802K | $747K | $658K | $695K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.6M | $1.8M | $2.0M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$859K to $1.15M
29.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$695K to $2.04M
102.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 006785 | $996K | $1.35M | +35.7% |
| Tract 007425 | $979K | $1.30M | +32.7% |
| Tract 004208 | $979K | $1.25M | +27.5% |
| Tract 004101 | $975K | $1.31M | +34.9% |
| Tract 008424 | $1.01M | $1.31M | +29.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 004884 | $936K | $1.35M | +44.8% |
| Tract 008961 | $1.19M | $1.71M | +44.4% |
| Tract 004664 | $874K | $1.26M | +44.2% |
| Tract 007467 | $1.05M | $1.50M | +43.1% |
| Tract 007263 | $723K | $1.02M | +41.0% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources