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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Cecil, MD · ZIP 21921 · Census Tract 24015030602 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$351K
Downside (P10)
$286K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$374K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$543K
+55% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +55%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $258K | $267K | $266K | $251K | $250K | $235K | $245K | $278K | $314K | $343K | $351K | $362K | $377K | $374K |
| YoY Change | +3.7% | -0.4% | -5.6% | -0.6% | -5.9% | +4.3% | +13.4% | +12.6% | +9.5% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +4.1% | -0.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $302K | $296K | $286K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $480K | $509K | $543K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$302K to $480K
49.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$286K to $543K
68.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Fair Hill · Elkton · (Tract 306.2) | $349K | $374K | +7.2% | |
| 5, North East | $340K | $385K | +13.3% | |
| 6, Rising Sun (Tract 031301) | $351K | $390K | +11.0% | |
| 3, Elkton (Tract 030503) | $350K | $377K | +7.9% | |
| 3, Elkton (Tract 030501) | $347K | $372K | +7.2% | |
| 6, Rising Sun (Tract 031302) | $359K | $368K | +2.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Fair Hill · Elkton · (Tract 306.2) | $349K | $374K | +7.2% | |
| 3, Elkton | $376K | $428K | +13.9% | |
| 5, North East (Tract 030905) | $340K | $385K | +13.3% | |
| 5, North East (Tract 030907) | $378K | $422K | +11.9% | |
| 4, Fair Hill | $305K | $340K | +11.7% | |
| 6, Rising Sun | $351K | $390K | +11.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Fair Hill · Elkton · (Tract 306.2) | $349K | $374K | $257K | |
| 3, Elkton (Tract 030508) | $286K | $309K | $163K | |
| 4, Fair Hill | $305K | $340K | $160K | |
| 3, Elkton (Tract 030505) | $297K | $325K | $159K | |
| 7, Port Deposit | $331K | $354K | $144K | |
| Elkton | $240K | $265K | $139K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.