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Calvert, MD · ZIP 20754 · Census Tract 24009860103 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$648K
Downside (P10)
$542K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$667K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$945K
+46% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $461K | $488K | $565K | $598K | $616K | $648K | $653K | $679K | $667K |
| YoY Change | +5.8% | +15.8% | +5.9% | +3.0% | +5.1% | +0.8% | +4.0% | -1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $567K | $548K | $542K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $797K | $906K | $945K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$567K to $797K
35.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$542K to $945K
60.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Sunderland | $625K | $667K | +6.8% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860701) | $489K | $569K | +16.4% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick area (Tract 860200) | $630K | $685K | +8.7% | |
| 3, Sunderland | $556K | $582K | +4.8% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick area (Tract 860501) | $578K | $603K | +4.3% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860600) | $543K | $559K | +2.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Sunderland | $625K | $667K | +6.8% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick | $489K | $569K | +16.4% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 860901) | $414K | $458K | +10.9% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 860902) | $381K | $422K | +10.9% | |
| 3, Sunderland | $411K | $455K | +10.7% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Sunderland | $625K | $667K | $404K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860402) | $449K | $469K | $215K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860403) | $411K | $455K | $203K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860404) | $408K | $417K | $199K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | $169K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861003) | $335K | $359K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.