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Calvert, MD · ZIP 20657 · Census Tract 24009860901 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$421K
Downside (P10)
$332K
-21% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$458K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$629K
+50% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 64% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $358K | $367K | $396K | $408K | $409K | $421K | $432K | $453K | $458K |
| YoY Change | +2.5% | +8.0% | +3.0% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +2.8% | +4.9% | +1.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $348K | $339K | $332K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $517K | $563K | $629K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$348K to $517K
39.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$332K to $629K
64.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Solomons Island · Lusby · (Tract 8609.1) | $414K | $458K | +10.9% | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860403) | $411K | $455K | +10.7% | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860402) | $449K | $469K | +4.4% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860502) | $416K | $434K | +4.4% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick (Tract 860702) | $452K | $463K | +2.3% | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860404) | $408K | $417K | +2.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Solomons Island · Lusby · (Tract 8609.1) | $414K | $458K | +10.9% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick | $489K | $569K | +16.4% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 860902) | $381K | $422K | +10.9% | |
| 3, Sunderland | $411K | $455K | +10.7% | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | +9.1% | |
| 2, Prince Frederick area | $630K | $685K | +8.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Solomons Island · Lusby · (Tract 8609.1) | $414K | $458K | $297K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860402) | $449K | $469K | $215K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860403) | $411K | $455K | $203K | |
| 3, Sunderland (Tract 860404) | $408K | $417K | $199K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861004) | $293K | $320K | $169K | |
| 1, Solomons Island (Tract 861003) | $335K | $359K | $161K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.