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Anne Arundel, MD · ZIP 21061 · Census Tract 24003750803 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$257K
Downside (P10)
$230K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$274K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$378K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $169K | $174K | $182K | $208K | $209K | $235K | $221K | $251K | $280K | $255K | $257K | $260K | $267K | $274K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | +4.6% | +14.7% | +0.2% | +12.8% | -6.3% | +13.8% | +11.4% | -8.8% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +2.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $224K | $226K | $230K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $322K | $357K | $378K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$224K to $322K
37.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$230K to $378K
53.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferndale | $255K | $274K | +7.5% | |
| Brooklyn Park | $236K | $263K | +11.5% | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 730205) | $235K | $260K | +10.9% | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 730510) | $298K | $326K | +9.5% | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 730513) | $288K | $311K | +8.0% | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 751102) | $251K | $255K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferndale | $255K | $274K | +7.5% | |
| Severna Park | $649K | $821K | +26.5% | |
| 4 | $383K | $464K | +21.3% | |
| Glen Burnie | $374K | $447K | +19.7% | |
| Fort Meade | $591K | $701K | +18.5% | |
| Maryland City | $417K | $492K | +18.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferndale | $255K | $274K | $148K | |
| Brooklyn Park (Tract 750101) | $236K | $263K | $152K | |
| Brooklyn Park (Tract 750204) | $317K | $340K | $145K | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 730513) | $288K | $311K | $143K | |
| Glen Burnie (Tract 751102) | $251K | $255K | $122K | |
| Brooklyn Park (Tract 750102) | $198K | $213K | $115K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.