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Worcester, MA · ZIP 01420 · Census Tract 25027711100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$364K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $213K | $225K | $251K | $246K | $258K | $267K | $286K | $306K | $337K | $363K | $360K | $349K | $361K | $364K | $380K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$147,341 | -$135,041 | -$109,141 | -$113,541 | -$101,941 | -$92,641 | -$74,041 | -$54,141 | -$22,641 | +$3,559 | -$10,759 | +$975 | +$4,462 | +$20,420 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.9% | -37.5% | -30.3% | -31.6% | -28.3% | -25.7% | -20.6% | -15.0% | -6.3% | +1.0% | -3.0% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $260K | $278K | $340K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $433K | $480K | $530K | $422K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$279K to $433K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$340K to $422K
21.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | -0.2% | |
| Worcester (Tract 732301) | $360K | $400K | +11.1% | |
| Fitchburg | $360K | $397K | +10.3% | |
| North Brookfield | $359K | $389K | +8.3% | |
| West Brookfield | $361K | $377K | +4.6% | |
| Worcester (Tract 730200) | $361K | $367K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | -0.2% | |
| Clinton | $422K | $519K | +23.0% | |
| Leominster (Tract 709201) | $383K | $461K | +20.3% | |
| Auburn | $384K | $458K | +19.1% | |
| Lunenburg | $442K | $526K | +18.9% | |
| Leominster (Tract 709204) | $291K | $345K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | $252K | |
| Worcester (Tract 732202) | $316K | $334K | $135K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731300) | $212K | $228K | $132K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731500) | $244K | $262K | $120K | |
| Gardner | $202K | $227K | $116K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731700) | $165K | $171K | $91K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Worcester, MA · ZIP 01420 · Census Tract 25027711100 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$360K
Downside (P10)
$278K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$364K
+1% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$530K
+47% by 2030
Base case: +1% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $213K | $225K | $251K | $246K | $258K | $267K | $286K | $306K | $337K | $363K | $360K | $349K | $361K | $364K | $380K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$147,341 | -$135,041 | -$109,141 | -$113,541 | -$101,941 | -$92,641 | -$74,041 | -$54,141 | -$22,641 | +$3,559 | -$10,759 | +$975 | +$4,462 | +$20,420 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -40.9% | -37.5% | -30.3% | -31.6% | -28.3% | -25.7% | -20.6% | -15.0% | -6.3% | +1.0% | -3.0% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +5.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $279K | $260K | $278K | $340K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $433K | $480K | $530K | $422K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$279K to $433K
44.1% of median
Long-horizon band
$340K to $422K
21.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | -0.2% | |
| Worcester (Tract 732301) | $360K | $400K | +11.1% | |
| Fitchburg | $360K | $397K | +10.3% | |
| North Brookfield | $359K | $389K | +8.3% | |
| West Brookfield | $361K | $377K | +4.6% | |
| Worcester (Tract 730200) | $361K | $367K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | -0.2% | |
| Clinton | $422K | $519K | +23.0% | |
| Leominster (Tract 709201) | $383K | $461K | +20.3% | |
| Auburn | $384K | $458K | +19.1% | |
| Lunenburg | $442K | $526K | +18.9% | |
| Leominster (Tract 709204) | $291K | $345K | +18.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fitchburg · 01420 · (Tract 7111) | $365K | $364K | $252K | |
| Worcester (Tract 732202) | $316K | $334K | $135K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731300) | $212K | $228K | $132K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731500) | $244K | $262K | $120K | |
| Gardner | $202K | $227K | $116K | |
| Worcester (Tract 731700) | $165K | $171K | $91K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
