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Middlesex, MA · ZIP 02472 · Census Tract 25017370401 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$859K
Downside (P10)
$772K
-10% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$909K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.15M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -10% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $638K | $778K | $803K | $782K | $840K | $859K | $890K | $904K | $909K | $880K |
| YoY Change | +21.9% | +3.2% | -2.6% | +7.4% | +2.3% | +3.6% | +1.6% | +0.5% | -3.3% | |
| Downside (P10) | $786K | $768K | $772K | $781K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $995K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$786K to $1.05M
29.8% of median
5-Year Spread
$781K to $995K
24.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watertown Town · Watertown · (Tract 3704.1) | $847K | $909K | +7.3% | |
| Somerville (Tract 351403) | $860K | $942K | +9.6% | |
| Arlington (Tract 356500) | $860K | $922K | +7.2% | |
| Somerville (Tract 350702) | $861K | $916K | +6.5% | |
| Watertown Town | $861K | $907K | +5.3% | |
| Arlington (Tract 356701) | $862K | $877K | +1.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watertown Town · Watertown · (Tract 3704.1) | $847K | $909K | +7.3% | |
| Everett | $603K | $734K | +21.6% | |
| Belmont | $899K | $1.09M | +21.4% | |
| Framingham | $625K | $749K | +19.9% | |
| Somerville | $795K | $951K | +19.7% | |
| Arlington | $910K | $1.09M | +19.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Watertown Town · Watertown · (Tract 3704.1) | $847K | $909K | $375K | |
| Lowell (Tract 312300) | $383K | $427K | $186K | |
| Hudson | $455K | $499K | $185K | |
| Lowell (Tract 311200) | $361K | $392K | $174K | |
| Marlborough | $395K | $425K | $166K | |
| Lowell (Tract 311900) | $322K | $329K | $158K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.