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Hampshire, MA · ZIP 01002 · Census Tract 25015820300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$560K
Downside (P10)
$493K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$596K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$748K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 77% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $345K | $357K | $379K | $409K | $383K | $419K | $444K | $492K | $495K | $556K | $560K | $570K | $578K | $596K |
| YoY Change | +3.5% | +6.0% | +8.0% | -6.4% | +9.5% | +5.9% | +10.7% | +0.6% | +12.4% | +0.8% | +1.9% | +1.4% | +3.0% | |
| Downside (P10) | $505K | $504K | $493K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $642K | $680K | $748K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$505K to $642K
23.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$493K to $748K
42.7% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amherst Town | $557K | $596K | +7.0% | |
| Amherst Town (Tract 820700) | $520K | $563K | +8.3% | |
| Hadley | $509K | $524K | +2.9% | |
| Amherst Town (Tract 820801) | $464K | $525K | +13.3% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821904) | $462K | $509K | +10.0% | |
| Northampton (Tract 822000) | $663K | $709K | +7.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amherst Town | $557K | $596K | +7.0% | |
| Huntington | $303K | $352K | +16.1% | |
| Goshen area | $384K | $444K | +15.8% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821700) | $399K | $458K | +14.7% | |
| Westhampton | $420K | $480K | +14.3% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821602) | $429K | $490K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amherst Town | $557K | $596K | $255K | |
| Ware | $310K | $348K | $168K | |
| South Hadley (Tract 821000) | $351K | $374K | $182K | |
| South Hadley (Tract 821101) | $329K | $355K | $184K | |
| Huntington | $303K | $352K | $186K | |
| Worthington area | $346K | $362K | $196K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.