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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Hampshire, MA · ZIP 01038 · Census Tract 25015821500 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$444K
Downside (P10)
$367K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$502K
+13% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$661K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $279K | $276K | $286K | $298K | $300K | $319K | $343K | $423K | $440K | $441K | $444K | $471K | $491K | $502K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | +3.4% | +4.2% | +0.7% | +6.4% | +7.4% | +23.4% | +4.1% | +0.2% | +0.7% | +6.1% | +4.3% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $354K | $354K | $367K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $573K | $605K | $661K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$354K to $573K
46.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$367K to $661K
58.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatfield | $446K | $502K | +12.5% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821602) | $429K | $490K | +14.2% | |
| Amherst Town (Tract 820801) | $464K | $525K | +13.3% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821904) | $462K | $509K | +10.0% | |
| Amherst Town (Tract 820500) | $452K | $494K | +9.3% | |
| Southampton | $452K | $463K | +2.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatfield | $446K | $502K | +12.5% | |
| Huntington | $303K | $352K | +16.1% | |
| Goshen area | $384K | $444K | +15.8% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821700) | $399K | $458K | +14.7% | |
| Westhampton | $420K | $480K | +14.3% | |
| Northampton (Tract 821602) | $429K | $490K | +14.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hatfield | $446K | $502K | $293K | |
| Worthington area | $346K | $362K | $196K | |
| Huntington | $303K | $352K | $186K | |
| South Hadley (Tract 821101) | $329K | $355K | $184K | |
| South Hadley (Tract 821000) | $351K | $374K | $182K | |
| Ware | $310K | $348K | $168K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.