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Hampden, MA · ZIP 01089 · Census Tract 25013812201 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$290K
Downside (P10)
$255K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$315K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$397K
+37% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +37%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $174K | $177K | $185K | $191K | $204K | $200K | $230K | $304K | $269K | $290K | $290K | $299K | $308K | $315K |
| YoY Change | +1.7% | +4.5% | +3.3% | +6.4% | -2.0% | +15.1% | +32.3% | -11.5% | +7.7% | +0.1% | +3.2% | +3.1% | +2.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $266K | $261K | $255K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $344K | $382K | $397K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$266K to $344K
26.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$255K to $397K
45.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Springfield Town · West Springfield · (Tract 8122.1) | $294K | $315K | +7.1% | |
| Chicopee | $290K | $318K | +9.9% | |
| Palmer Town | $292K | $311K | +6.6% | |
| Springfield | $288K | $313K | +8.9% | |
| Holyoke (Tract 811600) | $292K | $310K | +6.1% | |
| Holyoke (Tract 812101) | $287K | $314K | +9.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Springfield Town · West Springfield · (Tract 8122.1) | $294K | $315K | +7.1% | |
| Agawam Town | $391K | $479K | +22.7% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811000) | $296K | $358K | +21.1% | |
| Southwick | $422K | $502K | +18.9% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 810602) | $343K | $404K | +17.8% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811101) | $305K | $357K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| West Springfield Town · West Springfield · (Tract 8122.1) | $294K | $315K | $142K | |
| Holyoke | $145K | $156K | $81K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801901) | $175K | $194K | $86K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800201) | $227K | $249K | $103K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801700) | $205K | $222K | $106K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800400) | $239K | $253K | $117K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.