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Hampden, MA · ZIP 01081 · Census Tract 25013813801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$316K
Downside (P10)
$283K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$327K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$422K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $200K | $196K | $200K | $207K | $216K | $232K | $246K | $268K | $283K | $316K | $316K | $322K | $323K | $327K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$115,811 | -$120,411 | -$116,011 | -$108,611 | -$100,411 | -$84,111 | -$70,111 | -$47,611 | -$33,211 | -$111 | +$6,282 | +$6,729 | +$10,797 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.6% | -38.1% | -36.7% | -34.4% | -31.8% | -26.6% | -22.2% | -15.1% | -10.5% | -0.0% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $297K | $292K | $283K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $376K | $399K | $422K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$297K to $376K
24.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$283K to $422K
42.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | +2.6% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800500) | $315K | $339K | +7.7% | |
| Agawam Town (Tract 813208) | $321K | $341K | +6.5% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800700) | $314K | $330K | +5.1% | |
| Agawam Town (Tract 813205) | $320K | $332K | +4.0% | |
| Ludlow | $321K | $327K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | +2.6% | |
| Agawam Town | $391K | $479K | +22.7% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811000) | $296K | $358K | +21.1% | |
| Southwick | $422K | $502K | +18.9% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 810602) | $343K | $404K | +17.8% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811101) | $305K | $357K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | $140K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800400) | $239K | $253K | $117K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801700) | $205K | $222K | $106K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800201) | $227K | $249K | $103K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801901) | $175K | $194K | $86K | |
| Holyoke | $145K | $156K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hampden, MA · ZIP 01081 · Census Tract 25013813801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$316K
Downside (P10)
$283K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$327K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$422K
+34% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 76% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $200K | $196K | $200K | $207K | $216K | $232K | $246K | $268K | $283K | $316K | $316K | $322K | $323K | $327K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$115,811 | -$120,411 | -$116,011 | -$108,611 | -$100,411 | -$84,111 | -$70,111 | -$47,611 | -$33,211 | -$111 | +$6,282 | +$6,729 | +$10,797 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -36.6% | -38.1% | -36.7% | -34.4% | -31.8% | -26.6% | -22.2% | -15.1% | -10.5% | -0.0% | +2.0% | +2.1% | +3.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $297K | $292K | $283K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $376K | $399K | $422K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$297K to $376K
24.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$283K to $422K
42.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | +2.6% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800500) | $315K | $339K | +7.7% | |
| Agawam Town (Tract 813208) | $321K | $341K | +6.5% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800700) | $314K | $330K | +5.1% | |
| Agawam Town (Tract 813205) | $320K | $332K | +4.0% | |
| Ludlow | $321K | $327K | +1.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | +2.6% | |
| Agawam Town | $391K | $479K | +22.7% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811000) | $296K | $358K | +21.1% | |
| Southwick | $422K | $502K | +18.9% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 810602) | $343K | $404K | +17.8% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811101) | $305K | $357K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wales area | $319K | $327K | $140K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800400) | $239K | $253K | $117K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801700) | $205K | $222K | $106K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800201) | $227K | $249K | $103K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801901) | $175K | $194K | $86K | |
| Holyoke | $145K | $156K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
