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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Hampden, MA · ZIP 01013 · Census Tract 25013811102 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$248K
Downside (P10)
$220K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$283K
+14% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$368K
+48% by 2030
Base case: +14% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +48%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $159K | $161K | $162K | $165K | $172K | $182K | $194K | $220K | $234K | $245K | $248K | $257K | $262K | $283K | $252K |
| YoY Change | +1.1% | +0.6% | +2.0% | +4.2% | +5.9% | +6.3% | +13.7% | +6.4% | +4.7% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +1.9% | +8.1% | -10.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $225K | $224K | $220K | $223K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $314K | $350K | $368K | $285K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$225K to $314K
34.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$223K to $285K
24.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicopee · 01013 · (Tract 8111.2) | $245K | $283K | +15.3% | |
| Springfield (Tract 802601) | $247K | $278K | +12.3% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800102) | $250K | $277K | +10.8% | |
| Springfield (Tract 800300) | $248K | $270K | +9.0% | |
| Chicopee | $247K | $268K | +8.3% | |
| Springfield (Tract 801300) | $244K | $262K | +7.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicopee · 01013 · (Tract 8111.2) | $245K | $283K | +15.3% | |
| Agawam Town | $391K | $479K | +22.7% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811000) | $296K | $358K | +21.1% | |
| Southwick | $422K | $502K | +18.9% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 810602) | $343K | $404K | +17.8% | |
| Chicopee (Tract 811101) | $305K | $357K | +17.2% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicopee · 01013 · (Tract 8111.2) | $245K | $283K | $148K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800400) | $239K | $253K | $117K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801700) | $205K | $222K | $106K | |
| Springfield (Tract 800201) | $227K | $249K | $103K | |
| Springfield (Tract 801901) | $175K | $194K | $86K | |
| Holyoke | $145K | $156K | $81K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.