County 25118, MA · Census Tract 25118000786 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$887K
Downside (P10)
$377K
-57% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$725K
-18% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.30M
+46% by 2030
Base case: -18% by 2030, with a forecast range from -57% to +46%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25118 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $887K | $898K | $809K | $736K | $725K |
| YoY Change | +1.2% | -9.9% | -9.0% | -1.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $526K | $415K | $394K | $377K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.3M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$615K to $1.11M
55.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$377K to $1.30M
126.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000485 | $900K | $713K | -20.7% |
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 000582 | $797K | $624K | -21.7% |
| Tract 001109 | $983K | $778K | -20.8% |
| Tract 000508 | $984K | $776K | -21.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 020449 | $989K | $1.39M | +40.7% |
| Tract 020203 | $2.24M | $3.00M | +33.8% |
| Tract 020180 | $1.96M | $2.53M | +29.5% |
| Tract 020229 | $2.36M | $3.00M | +26.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources