County 25118, MA · Census Tract 25118001109 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$983K
Downside (P10)
$320K
-67% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$778K
-21% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.35M
+38% by 2030
Base case: -21% by 2030, with a forecast range from -67% to +38%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25118 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $983K | $1.0M | $897K | $782K | $778K |
| YoY Change | +2.8% | -11.2% | -12.8% | -0.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $457K | $373K | $307K | $320K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$629K to $1.28M
66.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$320K to $1.35M
132.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 000508 | $984K | $776K | -21.1% |
| Tract 020449 | $989K | $1.39M | +40.7% |
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 000485 | $900K | $713K | -20.7% |
| Tract 000883 | $1.08M | $1.07M | -0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 020384 | $915K | $1.30M | +42.5% |
| Tract 020449 | $989K | $1.39M | +40.7% |
| Tract 020203 | $2.24M | $3.00M | +33.8% |
| Tract 020180 | $1.96M | $2.53M | +29.5% |
| Tract 020229 | $2.36M | $3.00M | +26.7% |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources