County 25600, MA · Census Tract 25600101782 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$601K
Downside (P10)
$210K
-65% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$504K
-16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$938K
+56% by 2030
Base case: -16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -65% to +56%. Uncertainty is wide relative to similar County 25600 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $601K | $581K | $519K | $495K | $504K |
| YoY Change | -3.4% | -10.6% | -4.7% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $320K | $260K | $215K | $210K | |
| Upside (P90) | $860K | $891K | $844K | $938K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market. Uncertainty is moderate near-term but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$415K to $800K
63.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$210K to $938K
144.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 102260 | $601K | $553K | -8.0% |
| Tract 101847 | $599K | $495K | -17.4% |
| Tract 100725 | $605K | $503K | -16.9% |
| Tract 102163 | $608K | $499K | -17.8% |
| Tract 102008 | $594K | $506K | -14.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 102406 | $563K | $954K | +69.3% |
| Tract 102383 | $711K | $1.07M | +50.8% |
| Tract 100961 | $659K | $991K | +50.4% |
| Tract 102600 | $714K | $1.06M | +49.0% |
| Tract 101449 | $646K | $960K | +48.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 101083 | $703K | $762K | $493K |
| Tract 102406 | $563K | $954K | $683K |
| Tract 102545 | $710K | $1.04M | $742K |
| Tract 102163 | $608K | $499K | $760K |
| Tract 100725 | $605K | $503K | $760K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources