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Bristol, MA · ZIP 02719 · Census Tract 25005655200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$381K
Downside (P10)
$334K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$412K
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$566K
+49% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +49%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $247K | $245K | $257K | $256K | $264K | $248K | $275K | $298K | $358K | $376K | $381K | $391K | $404K | $412K |
| YoY Change | -0.8% | +4.8% | -0.3% | +3.2% | -6.3% | +11.1% | +8.4% | +20.1% | +5.1% | +1.2% | +2.8% | +3.2% | +1.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $350K | $335K | $334K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $489K | $541K | $566K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$350K to $489K
35.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$334K to $566K
56.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairhaven | $379K | $412K | +8.6% | |
| New Bedford | $376K | $436K | +16.0% | |
| Fall River (Tract 642400) | $377K | $417K | +10.7% | |
| Attleboro | $377K | $407K | +8.0% | |
| Fall River (Tract 642100) | $386K | $405K | +5.0% | |
| Taunton | $381K | $396K | +4.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairhaven | $379K | $412K | +8.6% | |
| North Attleborough Town | $510K | $621K | +21.6% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651200) | $322K | $379K | +17.6% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650202) | $413K | $486K | +17.6% | |
| Attleboro | $387K | $454K | +17.4% | |
| Freetown | $523K | $613K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairhaven | $379K | $412K | $232K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651500) | $301K | $335K | $142K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650600) | $299K | $311K | $138K | |
| North Attleborough Town | $348K | $380K | $138K | |
| Fall River | $240K | $278K | $136K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652300) | $336K | $348K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.