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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Bristol, MA · ZIP 02744 · Census Tract 25005652800 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$404K
Downside (P10)
$338K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$432K
+7% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$536K
+33% by 2030
Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +33%. The model forecasts this with 75% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $228K | $230K | $229K | $231K | $232K | $258K | $285K | $323K | $354K | $390K | $404K | $412K | $425K | $432K | $411K |
| YoY Change | +1.0% | -0.7% | +1.2% | +0.5% | +10.9% | +10.8% | +13.4% | +9.4% | +10.3% | +3.5% | +2.0% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -4.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $350K | $335K | $338K | $361K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $465K | $504K | $536K | $461K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$350K to $465K
27.9% of median
5-Year Spread
$361K to $461K
24.4% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02744 · (Tract 6528) | $396K | $432K | +9.1% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650101) | $409K | $463K | +13.2% | |
| Fall River | $407K | $442K | +8.6% | |
| Attleboro | $403K | $436K | +8.3% | |
| Somerset | $399K | $427K | +6.9% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652100) | $400K | $421K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02744 · (Tract 6528) | $396K | $432K | +9.1% | |
| North Attleborough Town | $510K | $621K | +21.6% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651200) | $322K | $379K | +17.6% | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650202) | $413K | $486K | +17.6% | |
| Attleboro | $387K | $454K | +17.4% | |
| Freetown | $523K | $613K | +17.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Bedford · 02744 · (Tract 6528) | $396K | $432K | $198K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 651500) | $301K | $335K | $142K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 650600) | $299K | $311K | $138K | |
| North Attleborough Town | $348K | $380K | $138K | |
| Fall River | $240K | $278K | $136K | |
| New Bedford (Tract 652300) | $336K | $348K | $126K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.