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Boston, MA · ZIP 02152 · Census Tract 25025180200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$673K
Downside (P10)
$547K
-19% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$756K
+12% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$976K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +12% by 2030, with a forecast range from -19% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $355K | $362K | $382K | $395K | $416K | $438K | $475K | $556K | $623K | $652K | $673K | $692K | $735K | $756K | $675K |
| YoY Change | +1.8% | +5.6% | +3.4% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +8.6% | +17.0% | +12.0% | +4.8% | +3.2% | +2.8% | +6.2% | +2.9% | -10.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $579K | $568K | $547K | $598K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $824K | $896K | $976K | $769K |
The forecast range is very tight for this market, indicating strong model confidence. Near-term outcomes are constrained and remain highly predictable through the full horizon.
1-Year Spread
$579K to $824K
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$598K to $769K
25.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Town · Winthrop · (Tract 1802) | $673K | $756K | +12.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 100400) | $672K | $747K | +11.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 010205) | $672K | $756K | +12.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 050200) | $674K | $783K | +16.0% | |
| Boston (Tract 110403) | $671K | $716K | +6.6% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Town · Winthrop · (Tract 1802) | $673K | $756K | +12.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 140400) | $517K | $612K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop Town · Winthrop · (Tract 1802) | $673K | $756K | $430K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K | |
| Revere Beach | $450K | $520K | $236K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Chelsea | $410K | $444K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 110401) | $614K | $634K | $247K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.