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Boston, MA · ZIP 02151 · Census Tract 25025170301 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$646K
Downside (P10)
$578K
-11% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$682K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$922K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -11% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $437K | $443K | $520K | $594K | $626K | $646K | $643K | $679K | $682K |
| YoY Change | +1.3% | +17.4% | +14.4% | +5.4% | +3.2% | -0.6% | +5.6% | +0.6% | |
| Downside (P10) | $561K | $603K | $578K | ||||||
| Upside (P90) | $754K | $797K | $922K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$561K to $754K
30.1% of median
5-Year Spread
$578K to $922K
50.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revere Beach | $633K | $682K | +7.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 110105) | $648K | $716K | +10.6% | |
| Boston (Tract 110301) | $649K | $729K | +12.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 051101) | $643K | $707K | +10.0% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 120700) | $650K | $653K | +0.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revere Beach | $633K | $682K | +7.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 140400) | $517K | $612K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revere Beach | $633K | $682K | $344K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K | |
| Revere Beach | $450K | $520K | $236K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Chelsea | $410K | $444K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 110401) | $614K | $634K | $247K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.