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Boston, MA · ZIP 02114 · Census Tract 25025020304 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.01M
Downside (P10)
$826K
-18% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.05M
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.39M
+38% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -18% to +38%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $745K | $895K | $973K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +20.1% | +8.7% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +1.0% | +3.1% | |
| Downside (P10) | $849K | $856K | $826K | ||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.3M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. The confidence level stays remarkably consistent through the forecast period.
1-Year Spread
$849K to $1.24M
39.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$826K to $1.39M
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $990K | $1.05M | +5.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 040401) | $980K | $1.12M | +14.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 040600) | $969K | $1.10M | +13.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 040200) | $985K | $1.10M | +11.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 010104) | $981K | $1.09M | +11.0% | |
| Boston (Tract 061204) | $1.02M | $1.10M | +7.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $990K | $1.05M | +5.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 140400) | $517K | $612K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $990K | $1.05M | $565K | |
| Boston (Tract 110401) | $614K | $634K | $247K | |
| Chelsea | $410K | $444K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Revere Beach | $450K | $520K | $236K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.