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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Boston, MA · ZIP 02116 · Census Tract 25025010600 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$1.44M
Downside (P10)
$1.22M
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.52M
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$2.44M
+70% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +70%. The model forecasts this with 56% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $1.2M | $1.1M | $1.1M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.6M | $1.7M | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M | $1.4M | $1.5M | $1.5M | $1.5M |
| YoY Change | -9.5% | +4.1% | +4.4% | -1.4% | +34.9% | +7.4% | -26.0% | -0.8% | +12.6% | +3.8% | +5.5% | -0.7% | +1.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $1.3M | $1.2M | $1.2M | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.7M | $2.0M | $2.4M |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$1.28M to $1.72M
29.6% of median
5-Year Spread
$1.22M to $2.44M
79.6% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $1.43M | $1.52M | +6.6% | |
| Boston (Tract 070301) | $1.31M | $1.46M | +12.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 010802) | $1.36M | $1.51M | +10.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 010701) | $1.55M | $1.67M | +8.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 070104) | $1.54M | $1.64M | +6.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 030302) | $1.56M | $1.65M | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $1.43M | $1.52M | +6.6% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 140400) | $517K | $612K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston | $1.43M | $1.52M | $1.21M | |
| Boston (Tract 110401) | $614K | $634K | $247K | |
| Chelsea | $410K | $444K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Revere Beach | $450K | $520K | $236K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.