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Boston, MA · ZIP 02131 · Census Tract 25025110401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$618K
Downside (P10)
$546K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$634K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$793K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $357K | $377K | $402K | $428K | $421K | $446K | $477K | $558K | $560K | $600K | $618K | $629K | $645K | $634K | $623K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$260,891 | -$240,891 | -$215,891 | -$189,591 | -$196,991 | -$171,991 | -$140,991 | -$59,991 | -$58,091 | -$17,391 | +$10,847 | +$27,323 | +$16,470 | +$5,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.2% | -39.0% | -35.0% | -30.7% | -31.9% | -27.8% | -22.8% | -9.7% | -9.4% | -2.8% | +1.8% | +4.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $540K | $556K | $546K | $554K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $727K | $786K | $793K | $705K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$540K to $727K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$554K to $705K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | +3.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 010405) | $613K | $723K | +17.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 050700) | $624K | $719K | +15.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 000804) | $623K | $701K | +12.4% | |
| Boston (Tract 091500) | $611K | $672K | +10.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 050500) | $620K | $671K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | +3.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 010405) | $613K | $723K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 000506) | $462K | $540K | $261K | |
| Boston (Tract 100100) | $566K | $634K | $252K | |
| Boston (Tract 051101) | $643K | $707K | $249K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Boston, MA · ZIP 02131 · Census Tract 25025110401 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$618K
Downside (P10)
$546K
-12% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$634K
+3% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$793K
+28% by 2030
Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +28%. The model forecasts this with 79% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $357K | $377K | $402K | $428K | $421K | $446K | $477K | $558K | $560K | $600K | $618K | $629K | $645K | $634K | $623K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$260,891 | -$240,891 | -$215,891 | -$189,591 | -$196,991 | -$171,991 | -$140,991 | -$59,991 | -$58,091 | -$17,391 | +$10,847 | +$27,323 | +$16,470 | +$5,240 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.2% | -39.0% | -35.0% | -30.7% | -31.9% | -27.8% | -22.8% | -9.7% | -9.4% | -2.8% | +1.8% | +4.4% | +2.7% | +0.8% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $540K | $556K | $546K | $554K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $727K | $786K | $793K | $705K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$540K to $727K
29.7% of median
Long-horizon band
$554K to $705K
24.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | +3.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 010405) | $613K | $723K | +17.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 050700) | $624K | $719K | +15.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 000804) | $623K | $701K | +12.4% | |
| Boston (Tract 091500) | $611K | $672K | +10.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 050500) | $620K | $671K | +8.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | +3.3% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 010405) | $613K | $723K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · Roslindale · (Tract 1104.1) | $614K | $634K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 000506) | $462K | $540K | $261K | |
| Boston (Tract 100100) | $566K | $634K | $252K | |
| Boston (Tract 051101) | $643K | $707K | $249K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
