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Boston, MA · ZIP 02118 · Census Tract 25025071101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$952K
Downside (P10)
$797K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$1.03M
+8% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.42M
+50% by 2030
Base case: +8% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +50%. The model forecasts this with 66% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $617K | $752K | $748K | $758K | $779K | $896K | $928K | $1.0M | $1.0M | $911K | $952K | $1.0M | $993K | $1.0M |
| YoY Change | +21.8% | -0.6% | +1.4% | +2.7% | +15.0% | +3.6% | +9.8% | +2.0% | -12.4% | +4.5% | +6.1% | -1.7% | +3.2% | |
| Downside (P10) | $837K | $796K | $797K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $1.2M | $1.2M | $1.4M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$837K to $1.19M
35.4% of median
5-Year Spread
$797K to $1.42M
61.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · 02118 · (Tract 711.1) | $936K | $1.03M | +9.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 060602) | $961K | $1.10M | +14.7% | |
| Boston (Tract 060601) | $944K | $1.04M | +10.2% | |
| Boston (Tract 040300) | $941K | $1.03M | +9.1% | |
| Boston (Tract 060603) | $947K | $1.01M | +6.4% | |
| Boston (Tract 071201) | $953K | $997K | +4.6% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · 02118 · (Tract 711.1) | $936K | $1.03M | +9.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 030200) | $696K | $835K | +19.9% | |
| Boston (Tract 010103) | $425K | $505K | +18.8% | |
| Boston (Tract 000701) | $650K | $771K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 140400) | $517K | $612K | +18.5% | |
| Boston (Tract 092400) | $670K | $792K | +18.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston · 02118 · (Tract 711.1) | $936K | $1.03M | $627K | |
| Boston (Tract 110401) | $614K | $634K | $247K | |
| Chelsea | $410K | $444K | $247K | |
| Boston (Tract 081302) | $482K | $531K | $238K | |
| Revere Beach | $450K | $520K | $236K | |
| Boston (Tract 000503) | $471K | $515K | $212K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.