What is the home price forecast for Parcel 22115950301 in 3?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $238,582 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 22115950301 in 3?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $238,582 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 3.4%.

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Parcel 22115950301 (3) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 22115950301, 3 Home Price Forecast

Vernon, LA · ZIP 71403 · Census Tract 22115950301 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$239K

Downside (P10)

$189K

-21% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$247K

+3% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$319K

+34% by 2030

Base case: +3% by 2030, with a forecast range from -21% to +34%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$185K	$222K	$247K	$237K	$233K	$239K	$240K	$243K	$247K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$53,982	-$16,482	+$7,918	-$1,182	-$5,582		+$1,333	+$4,873	+$8,048
Growth % vs 2026	-22.6%	-6.9%	+3.3%	-0.5%	-2.3%		+0.6%	+2.0%	+3.4%
Downside (P10)							$210K	$202K	$189K
Upside (P90)							$279K	$322K	$319K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$210K to $279K

28.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$189K to $319K

52.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +3.4% · Spread: 53%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 22115950301, 3 on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).