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St. John the Baptist, LA · ZIP 70090 · Census Tract 22095071100 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$187K
Downside (P10)
$156K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$195K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$268K
+43% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +43%. The model forecasts this with 68% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $105K | $126K | $99K | $93K | $111K | $181K | $139K | $183K | $195K | $183K | $187K | $186K | $192K | $195K |
| YoY Change | +19.9% | -21.5% | -5.8% | +18.5% | +63.5% | -23.1% | +31.5% | +6.4% | -5.9% | +2.1% | -0.4% | +2.8% | +1.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $155K | $155K | $156K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $216K | $240K | $268K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$155K to $216K
32.7% of median
5-Year Spread
$156K to $268K
57.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $183K | $195K | +6.6% | |
| 3 area | $188K | $204K | +8.4% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070300) | $193K | $204K | +5.6% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070900) | $174K | $180K | +3.2% | |
| 2 | $176K | $178K | +1.4% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070200) | $209K | $208K | -0.2% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $183K | $195K | +6.6% | |
| 2 | $149K | $167K | +11.7% | |
| 3 area | $188K | $204K | +8.4% | |
| Reserve | $137K | $147K | +7.6% | |
| Laplace (Tract 071000) | $122K | $130K | +6.9% | |
| Laplace (Tract 070300) | $193K | $204K | +5.6% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $183K | $195K | $112K | |
| 2 (Tract 070700) | $149K | $167K | $98K | |
| 2 (Tract 070600) | $176K | $178K | $94K | |
| Laplace (Tract 070900) | $174K | $180K | $94K | |
| Reserve | $137K | $147K | $78K | |
| Laplace (Tract 071000) | $122K | $130K | $76K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.