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East Carroll, LA · Census Tract 22035801223 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$420K
Downside (P10)
$410K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$644K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+190% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +190%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $420K | $525K | $574K | $600K | $644K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$105,228 | +$154,148 | +$180,769 | +$224,266 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +25.1% | +36.7% | +43.1% | +53.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $366K | $364K | $410K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $825K | $940K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$383K to $825K
84.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$410K to $1.2M
125.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | +53.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800800) | $404K | $556K | +37.8% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800363) | $395K | $510K | +29.1% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800321) | $395K | $509K | +28.7% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800224) | $401K | $486K | +21.3% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800046) | $417K | $492K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | +53.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801249) | $448K | $716K | +59.9% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801281) | $458K | $730K | +59.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801647) | $335K | $485K | +45.0% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800622) | $390K | $545K | +39.8% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801566) | $371K | $518K | +39.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | $807K | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801948) | $320K | $426K | $262K | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801647) | $335K | $485K | $260K | |
| 4 | $189K | $197K | $114K | |
| 8 | $60K | $60K | $42K | |
| 2 area | $108K | $108K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
East Carroll, LA · Census Tract 22035801223 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$420K
Downside (P10)
$410K
-2% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$644K
+53% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.22M
+190% by 2030
Base case: +53% by 2030, with a forecast range from -2% to +190%. The model forecasts this with 31% confidence.
| Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $420K | $525K | $574K | $600K | $644K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | +$105,228 | +$154,148 | +$180,769 | +$224,266 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | +25.1% | +36.7% | +43.1% | +53.4% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $383K | $366K | $364K | $410K | ||
| Upside (P90) | $825K | $940K | $1.0M | $1.2M |
The upside and downside bands are unusually far apart. Treat the median path as one plausible case rather than a tight estimate.
Near-term band
$383K to $825K
84.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$410K to $1.2M
125.3% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | +53.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800800) | $404K | $556K | +37.8% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800363) | $395K | $510K | +29.1% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800321) | $395K | $509K | +28.7% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800224) | $401K | $486K | +21.3% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800046) | $417K | $492K | +17.9% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | +53.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801249) | $448K | $716K | +59.9% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801281) | $458K | $730K | +59.4% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801647) | $335K | $485K | +45.0% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 800622) | $390K | $545K | +39.8% | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801566) | $371K | $518K | +39.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 801223 | $420K | $644K | $807K | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801948) | $320K | $426K | $262K | |
| East Carroll (Tract 801647) | $335K | $485K | $260K | |
| 4 | $189K | $197K | $114K | |
| 8 | $60K | $60K | $42K | |
| 2 area | $108K | $108K | $28K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
