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County 22945, LA · Census Tract 22945001045 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$345K
Downside (P10)
$265K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$456K
+32% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$688K
+99% by 2030
Base case: +32% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +99%. The model forecasts this with 49% confidence.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $345K | $390K | $398K | $412K | $456K |
| YoY Change | +12.8% | +2.3% | +3.3% | +10.7% | |
| Downside (P10) | $299K | $265K | $244K | $265K | |
| Upside (P90) | $519K | $577K | $642K | $688K |
The forecast range is wider than average for this market, indicating lower confidence. Short-term confidence is moderate but expands significantly by 2030 — outcomes could vary meaningfully.
1-Year Spread
$299K to $519K
56.5% of median
5-Year Spread
$265K to $688K
92.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | +31.9% | |
| Tract 000826 | $336K | $464K | +38.1% | |
| Tract 001126 | $337K | $456K | +35.5% | |
| Tract 000020 | $345K | $465K | +34.9% | |
| Tract 000509 | $346K | $438K | +26.6% | |
| Tract 000101 | $344K | $432K | +25.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | +31.9% | |
| Tract 012364 | $611K | $1.14M | +85.6% | |
| Tract 012241 | $655K | $1.07M | +63.3% | |
| Tract 012306 | $604K | $955K | +58.0% | |
| Tract 012403 | $633K | $991K | +56.4% | |
| Tract 012542 | $701K | $1.08M | +54.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 001045 | $345K | $456K | $423K | |
| Tract 001126 | $337K | $456K | $425K | |
| Tract 000826 | $336K | $464K | $413K | |
| Tract 000787 | $386K | $447K | $399K | |
| Tract 000509 | $346K | $438K | $399K | |
| Tract 000101 | $344K | $432K | $369K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources