County 22700, LA · Census Tract 22700052145 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$839K
Downside (P10)
$648K
-23% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$873K
+4% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.12M
+33% by 2030
Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +33%. Uncertainty is narrow relative to similar County 22700 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $839K | $905K | $852K | $817K | $873K |
| YoY Change | +7.8% | -5.8% | -4.2% | +6.9% | |
| Downside (P10) | $766K | $693K | $647K | $648K | |
| Upside (P90) | $1.0M | $1.0M | $1.1M | $1.1M |
The forecast range is narrow for this market. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, though uncertainty widens modestly by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$756K to $935K
21.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$648K to $1.12M
54.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 052585 | $833K | $836K | +0.3% |
| Tract 052747 | $825K | $888K | +7.6% |
| Tract 051560 | $874K | $914K | +4.6% |
| Tract 051502 | $798K | $840K | +5.3% |
| Tract 051667 | $767K | $908K | +18.3% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 051667 | $767K | $908K | +18.3% |
| Tract 051544 | $753K | $874K | +16.1% |
| Tract 052705 | $766K | $888K | +15.9% |
| Tract 052569 | $684K | $790K | +15.6% |
| Tract 052501 | $759K | $857K | +13.0% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 052307 | $1.09M | $1.05M | $401K |
| Tract 052080 | $1.10M | $1.05M | $411K |
| Tract 051560 | $874K | $914K | $419K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources