County 22700, LA · Census Tract 22700052569 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$684K
Downside (P10)
$596K
-13% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$790K
+16% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$1.08M
+57% by 2030
Base case: +16% by 2030, with a forecast range from -13% to +57%. Uncertainty is typical relative to similar County 22700 markets.
| Year | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $684K | $740K | $711K | $715K | $790K |
| YoY Change | +8.3% | -3.9% | +0.6% | +10.5% | |
| Downside (P10) | $631K | $580K | $552K | $596K | |
| Upside (P90) | $885K | $899K | $955K | $1.1M |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are relatively tight, but uncertainty widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$607K to $766K
23.2% of median
5-Year Spread
$596K to $1.08M
60.8% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 051243 | $712K | $801K | +12.5% |
| Tract 051405 | $748K | $824K | +10.1% |
| Tract 051544 | $753K | $874K | +16.1% |
| Tract 052501 | $759K | $857K | +13.0% |
| Tract 051324 | $760K | $851K | +12.0% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 051667 | $767K | $908K | +18.3% |
| Tract 051544 | $753K | $874K | +16.1% |
| Tract 052705 | $766K | $888K | +15.9% |
| Tract 052501 | $759K | $857K | +13.0% |
| Tract 051243 | $712K | $801K | +12.5% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tract 052307 | $1.09M | $1.05M | $401K |
| Tract 052080 | $1.10M | $1.05M | $411K |
| Tract 051560 | $874K | $914K | $419K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources