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Calcasieu, LA · ZIP 70601 · Census Tract 22019000300 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$89K
Downside (P10)
$75K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$94K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$129K
+45% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $81K | $87K | $89K | $80K | $87K | $70K | $82K | $91K | $86K | $85K | $89K | $89K | $91K | $94K |
| YoY Change | +7.5% | +2.8% | -10.4% | +8.3% | -19.7% | +17.3% | +11.9% | -5.6% | -1.3% | +4.7% | -0.1% | +2.2% | +3.4% | |
| Downside (P10) | $75K | $79K | $75K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $107K | $117K | $129K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$75K to $107K
35.3% of median
5-Year Spread
$75K to $129K
57.1% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Charles · 70601 · (Tract 3) | $86K | $94K | +9.2% | |
| Sulphur | $86K | $97K | +13.1% | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 001500) | $98K | $107K | +9.6% | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 000400) | $87K | $92K | +6.7% | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 000602) | $94K | $97K | +3.0% | |
| 11 | $76K | $76K | +0.7% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Charles · 70601 · (Tract 3) | $86K | $94K | +9.2% | |
| 10 | $149K | $174K | +17.4% | |
| 7 | $221K | $254K | +15.1% | |
| Lake Charles | $177K | $202K | +14.2% | |
| Moss Bluff | $275K | $312K | +13.4% | |
| Sulphur | $86K | $97K | +13.1% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lake Charles · 70601 · (Tract 3) | $86K | $94K | $54K | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 001600) | $136K | $147K | $68K | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 001500) | $98K | $107K | $66K | |
| Sulphur | $86K | $97K | $47K | |
| Lake Charles (Tract 000400) | $87K | $92K | $45K | |
| 11 | $76K | $76K | $44K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.