What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21227010805 in Bowling Green?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $332,114 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21227010805 in Bowling Green?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $332,114 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.7%.

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Parcel 21227010805 (Bowling Green) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21227010805, Bowling Green Home Price Forecast

Warren, KY · ZIP 42104 · Census Tract 21227010805 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$332K

Downside (P10)

$265K

-20% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$348K

+5% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$464K

+40% by 2030

Base case: +5% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +40%. The model forecasts this with 69% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$198K	$207K	$264K	$297K	$314K	$332K	$332K	$343K	$348K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$134,214	-$125,014	-$68,614	-$35,214	-$18,614		+$22	+$11,315	+$15,668
Growth % vs 2026	-40.4%	-37.6%	-20.7%	-10.6%	-5.6%		+0.0%	+3.4%	+4.7%
Downside (P10)							$265K	$271K	$265K
Upside (P90)							$427K	$440K	$464K

Forecast Confidence

69%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$265K to $427K

48.9% of median

Long-horizon band

$265K to $464K

57.1% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.7% · Spread: 57%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21227010805, Bowling Green on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).