What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21193970502 in Hazard?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $100,006 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -4.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21193970502 in Hazard?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $100,006 currently, with a 5-year expected change of -4.5%.

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Parcel 21193970502 (Hazard) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21193970502, Hazard Home Price Forecast

Perry, KY · ZIP 41701 · Census Tract 21193970502 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$100K

Downside (P10)

$75K

-25% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$96K

-4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$135K

+35% by 2030

Base case: -4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -25% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 65% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$106K	$97K	$98K	$100K	$100K	$101K	$96K
Growth $ vs 2026	+$5,794	-$3,006	-$2,306		-$498	+$637	-$4,490
Growth % vs 2026	+5.8%	-3.0%	-2.3%		-0.5%	+0.6%	-4.5%
Downside (P10)					$81K	$82K	$75K
Upside (P90)					$115K	$132K	$135K

Forecast Confidence

65%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$81K to $115K

34.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$75K to $135K

63.7% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: mild decline expected5yr expected: -4.5% · Spread: 64%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The model sees some downside pressure from rate sensitivity and local supply dynamics.

Location

Parcel 21193970502, Hazard on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).