What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21187970201 in Owenton · 40359 · (Tract 9702.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $161,336 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21187970201 in Owenton · 40359 · (Tract 9702.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $161,336 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 13.1%.

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Parcel 21187970201 (Owenton) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21187970201, Owenton · 40359 · (Tract 9702.1) Home Price Forecast

Owen, KY · ZIP 40359 · Census Tract 21187970201 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$161K

Downside (P10)

$142K

-12% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$183K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$234K

+45% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -12% to +45%. The model forecasts this with 72% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$107K	$109K	$151K	$157K	$158K	$161K	$165K	$175K	$183K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$54,236	-$52,536	-$10,136	-$4,336	-$3,436		+$4,102	+$13,918	+$21,207
Growth % vs 2026	-33.6%	-32.6%	-6.3%	-2.7%	-2.1%		+2.5%	+8.6%	+13.1%
Downside (P10)							$143K	$138K	$142K
Upside (P90)							$198K	$225K	$234K

Forecast Confidence

72%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$143K to $198K

33.7% of median

Long-horizon band

$142K to $234K

50.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +13.1% · Spread: 51%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21187970201, Owenton · 40359 · (Tract 9702.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).