Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Madison, KY · ZIP 40475 · Census Tract 21151010104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$280K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$312K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$437K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $171K | $190K | $255K | $267K | $279K | $280K | $293K | $297K | $312K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,651 | -$90,151 | -$25,251 | -$13,451 | -$1,351 | +$12,281 | +$16,735 | +$31,311 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.1% | -32.1% | -9.0% | -4.8% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +6.0% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $236K | $224K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $402K | $437K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$240K to $353K
38.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $437K
68.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | +10.9% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010702) | $297K | $324K | +9.3% | |
| Berea | $248K | $269K | +8.7% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010601) | $269K | $288K | +7.0% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010902) | $288K | $305K | +6.0% | |
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $250K | $265K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | +10.9% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010302) | $215K | $249K | +15.4% | |
| Kirksville | $370K | $420K | +13.5% | |
| Cottonburg-Valley View | $158K | $176K | +11.6% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010303) | $153K | $171K | +11.6% | |
| Berea | $232K | $258K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | $213K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010701) | $237K | $259K | $105K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010400) | $154K | $164K | $104K | |
| Berea (Tract 011303) | $181K | $195K | $82K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010602) | $150K | $160K | $80K | |
| Berea (Tract 011201) | $140K | $143K | $79K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Madison, KY · ZIP 40475 · Census Tract 21151010104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$280K
Downside (P10)
$224K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$312K
+11% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$437K
+56% by 2030
Base case: +11% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +56%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $171K | $190K | $255K | $267K | $279K | $280K | $293K | $297K | $312K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$109,651 | -$90,151 | -$25,251 | -$13,451 | -$1,351 | +$12,281 | +$16,735 | +$31,311 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -39.1% | -32.1% | -9.0% | -4.8% | -0.5% | +4.4% | +6.0% | +11.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $240K | $236K | $224K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $353K | $402K | $437K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.
Near-term band
$240K to $353K
38.6% of median
Long-horizon band
$224K to $437K
68.2% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | +10.9% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010702) | $297K | $324K | +9.3% | |
| Berea | $248K | $269K | +8.7% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010601) | $269K | $288K | +7.0% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010902) | $288K | $305K | +6.0% | |
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $250K | $265K | +5.8% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | +10.9% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010302) | $215K | $249K | +15.4% | |
| Kirksville | $370K | $420K | +13.5% | |
| Cottonburg-Valley View | $158K | $176K | +11.6% | |
| Richmond (Tract 010303) | $153K | $171K | +11.6% | |
| Berea | $232K | $258K | +11.4% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boonesborough-White Hall | $281K | $312K | $213K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010701) | $237K | $259K | $105K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010400) | $154K | $164K | $104K | |
| Berea (Tract 011303) | $181K | $195K | $82K | |
| Richmond (Tract 010602) | $150K | $160K | $80K | |
| Berea (Tract 011201) | $140K | $143K | $79K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
