What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21123960104 in Hodgenville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $214,023 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21123960104 in Hodgenville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $214,023 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.5%.

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Parcel 21123960104 (Hodgenville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21123960104, Hodgenville Home Price Forecast

Larue, KY · ZIP 42748 · Census Tract 21123960104 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$214K

Downside (P10)

$165K

-23% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$230K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$301K

+41% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -23% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$111K	$151K	$212K	$216K	$214K	$214K	$219K	$223K	$230K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$102,723	-$63,523	-$1,723	+$1,777	+$177		+$4,532	+$8,969	+$15,981
Growth % vs 2026	-48.0%	-29.7%	-0.8%	+0.8%	+0.1%		+2.1%	+4.2%	+7.5%
Downside (P10)							$174K	$166K	$165K
Upside (P90)							$265K	$288K	$301K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$174K to $265K

41.6% of median

Long-horizon band

$165K to $301K

59.3% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.5% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21123960104, Hodgenville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).