What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21123960103 in Hodgenville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $176,507 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21123960103 in Hodgenville?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $176,507 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 4.1%.

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Parcel 21123960103 (Hodgenville) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21123960103, Hodgenville Home Price Forecast

Larue, KY · ZIP 42748 · Census Tract 21123960103 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$177K

Downside (P10)

$148K

-16% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$184K

+4% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$260K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +4% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$125K	$124K	$143K	$147K	$168K	$177K	$176K	$180K	$184K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$51,207	-$52,507	-$34,007	-$29,107	-$8,607		-$293	+$3,851	+$7,286
Growth % vs 2026	-29.0%	-29.7%	-19.3%	-16.5%	-4.9%		-0.2%	+2.2%	+4.1%
Downside (P10)							$154K	$154K	$148K
Upside (P90)							$215K	$231K	$260K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$154K to $215K

34.2% of median

Long-horizon band

$148K to $260K

60.6% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +4.1% · Spread: 61%

·The forecast implies relatively stable values through the full horizon, with modest movements in either direction.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.

Location

Parcel 21123960103, Hodgenville on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).