What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21117067200 in Covington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $267,199 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.6%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21117067200 in Covington?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $267,199 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 12.6%.

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Parcel 21117067200 (Covington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21117067200, Covington Home Price Forecast

Kenton, KY · ZIP 41017 · Census Tract 21117067200 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$267K

Downside (P10)

$230K

-14% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$301K

+13% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$389K

+46% by 2030

Base case: +13% by 2030, with a forecast range from -14% to +46%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$175K	$187K	$217K	$246K	$259K	$267K	$281K	$290K	$301K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$91,799	-$80,199	-$50,299	-$21,399	-$8,099		+$13,475	+$23,287	+$33,746
Growth % vs 2026	-34.4%	-30.0%	-18.8%	-8.0%	-3.0%		+5.0%	+8.7%	+12.6%
Downside (P10)							$236K	$234K	$230K
Upside (P90)							$340K	$365K	$389K

Forecast Confidence

71%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.

Near-term band

$236K to $340K

37.0% of median

Long-horizon band

$230K to $389K

52.8% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: strong growth expected5yr expected: +12.6% · Spread: 53%

·The base case is supported by strong local demand signals and a positive medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21117067200, Covington on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).