What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21117066801 in Covington · Ft Mitchell · (Tract 668.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $216,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

What is the home price forecast for Parcel 21117066801 in Covington · Ft Mitchell · (Tract 668.1)?

Homecastr forecasts median home values at $216,444 currently, with a 5-year expected change of 7.2%.

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Parcel 21117066801 (Covington) Home Price Forecast | Homecastr

Parcel 21117066801, Covington · Ft Mitchell · (Tract 668.1) Home Price Forecast

Kenton, KY · ZIP 41017 · Census Tract 21117066801 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026

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Current modeled value

$216K

Downside (P10)

$180K

-17% by 2030

Base Case (P50)

$232K

+7% by 2030

Upside (P90)

$318K

+47% by 2030

Base case: +7% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +47%. The model forecasts this with 67% confidence.

Forecast Timeline

Historical Trend & Forecast

HistoricalForecast (p50)Confidence range

View detailed timeline

Year	2020	2021	2022	2023	2024	2026	2027	2028	2029
Median Value	$132K	$141K	$168K	$201K	$215K	$216K	$221K	$221K	$232K
Growth $ vs 2026	-$84,944	-$75,444	-$48,344	-$15,244	-$1,644		+$4,968	+$4,375	+$15,558
Growth % vs 2026	-39.2%	-34.9%	-22.3%	-7.0%	-0.8%		+2.3%	+2.0%	+7.2%
Downside (P10)							$197K	$193K	$180K
Upside (P90)							$264K	$287K	$318K

Forecast Confidence

67%

Moderate Confidence

The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. Near-term ranges are tighter, but uncertainty widens meaningfully further out.

Near-term band

$197K to $264K

30.4% of median

Long-horizon band

$180K to $318K

59.5% of median

Interpretation

Homecastr outlook: moderate growth expected5yr expected: +7.2% · Spread: 59%

·The forecast implies steady near-term growth accelerating over the longer horizon.
·The base case is supported by stable local demand and a moderate medium-term appreciation path.
·The narrow range suggests relatively high model confidence for this market.

Location

Parcel 21117066801, Covington · Ft Mitchell · (Tract 668.1) on map

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Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.

Methodology & Data Sources

Model

Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)

Forecast Horizon

2027 to 2030

Schema Version

forecast_queue

Citation

Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.

Data Sources

U.S. Census Bureau. American Community Survey (ACS), 5-Year Estimates, Table B25077 (Median Home Value), Census Tract level.
U.S. Census Bureau. TIGER/Line Shapefiles, Census Tract and ZCTA boundaries.
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED). 30-Year Fixed Rate Mortgage Average (MORTGAGE30US), Unemployment Rate (UNRATE), Consumer Price Index (CPIAUCSL).