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Look up a home and see where its value may be headed over the next five years.
Jessamine, KY · ZIP 40356 · Census Tract 21113060200 · 2027–2030 outlook
Current modeled value
$390K
Downside (P10)
$327K
-16% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$425K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$611K
+57% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -16% to +57%. The model forecasts this with 63% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $196K | $198K | $206K | $215K | $235K | $280K | $311K | $351K | $368K | $392K | $390K | $405K | $417K | $425K |
| YoY Change | +0.6% | +4.4% | +4.2% | +9.3% | +19.3% | +11.2% | +12.6% | +5.0% | +6.4% | -0.3% | +3.7% | +3.0% | +1.8% | |
| Downside (P10) | $341K | $342K | $327K | |||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $491K | $565K | $611K |
The forecast range is moderate for this market over this horizon. Near-term outcomes are fairly tight, but the confidence interval widens meaningfully by 2030.
1-Year Spread
$341K to $491K
37.0% of median
5-Year Spread
$327K to $611K
67.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholasville · 40356 · (Tract 602) | $392K | $425K | +8.3% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060300) | $284K | $322K | +13.2% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060502) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% | |
| Wilmore (Tract 060401) | $284K | $316K | +10.9% | |
| Wilmore (Tract 060402) | $278K | $305K | +9.6% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060104) | $317K | $338K | +6.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholasville · 40356 · (Tract 602) | $392K | $425K | +8.3% | |
| Keene | $651K | $759K | +16.6% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060504) | $151K | $175K | +15.5% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060300) | $284K | $322K | +13.2% | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060502) | $233K | $259K | +11.2% | |
| Wilmore | $284K | $316K | +10.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholasville · 40356 · (Tract 602) | $392K | $425K | $285K | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060102) | $221K | $239K | $146K | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060502) | $233K | $259K | $144K | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060504) | $151K | $175K | $114K | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060503) | $167K | $175K | $97K | |
| Nicholasville (Tract 060103) | $160K | $165K | $93K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.