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Hardin, KY · ZIP 42724 · Census Tract 21093001701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$252K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$335K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $170K | $194K | $221K | $231K | $238K | $241K | $251K | $252K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$77,737 | -$67,337 | -$44,037 | -$16,637 | -$6,437 | +$3,716 | +$13,015 | +$14,828 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.7% | -28.3% | -18.5% | -7.0% | -2.7% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +6.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $202K | $204K | $202K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $306K | $310K | $335K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$202K to $306K
42.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $335K
53.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | +6.5% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001004) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001601) | $251K | $276K | +9.6% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001003) | $255K | $272K | +6.8% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001401) | $248K | $261K | +5.2% | |
| Radcliff | $221K | $231K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | +6.5% | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000400) | $171K | $194K | +13.6% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001200) | $278K | $313K | +12.7% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001100) | $256K | $285K | +11.2% | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000600) | $136K | $150K | +10.2% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001004) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | $134K | |
| Elizabethtown | $165K | $173K | $87K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000700) | $154K | $167K | $87K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000500) | $155K | $160K | $76K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000600) | $136K | $150K | $56K | |
| West Point | $95K | $101K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Hardin, KY · ZIP 42724 · Census Tract 21093001701 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$238K
Downside (P10)
$202K
-15% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$252K
+6% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$335K
+41% by 2030
Base case: +6% by 2030, with a forecast range from -15% to +41%. The model forecasts this with 71% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $160K | $170K | $194K | $221K | $231K | $238K | $241K | $251K | $252K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$77,737 | -$67,337 | -$44,037 | -$16,637 | -$6,437 | +$3,716 | +$13,015 | +$14,828 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -32.7% | -28.3% | -18.5% | -7.0% | -2.7% | +1.6% | +5.5% | +6.2% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $202K | $204K | $202K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $306K | $310K | $335K |
The predictive band is moderate for this surface over the shown horizon. The confidence profile stays fairly consistent across the horizon.
Near-term band
$202K to $306K
42.9% of median
Long-horizon band
$202K to $335K
53.0% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | +6.5% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001004) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001601) | $251K | $276K | +9.6% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001003) | $255K | $272K | +6.8% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001401) | $248K | $261K | +5.2% | |
| Radcliff | $221K | $231K | +4.5% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | +6.5% | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000400) | $171K | $194K | +13.6% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001200) | $278K | $313K | +12.7% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001100) | $256K | $285K | +11.2% | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000600) | $136K | $150K | +10.2% | |
| Elizabethtown (Tract 001004) | $227K | $249K | +9.7% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cecilia | $237K | $252K | $134K | |
| Elizabethtown | $165K | $173K | $87K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000700) | $154K | $167K | $87K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000500) | $155K | $160K | $76K | |
| Radcliff (Tract 000600) | $136K | $150K | $56K | |
| West Point | $95K | $101K | $52K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
