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Franklin, KY · ZIP 40601 · Census Tract 21073071101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$209K
Downside (P10)
$174K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$329K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $114K | $192K | $190K | $204K | $209K | $210K | $217K | $227K | $212K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$88,608 | -$95,008 | -$17,108 | -$19,008 | -$4,808 | +$1,618 | +$8,604 | +$18,234 | +$3,530 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.5% | -45.5% | -8.2% | -9.1% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +8.7% | +1.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $176K | $174K | $186K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $255K | $282K | $329K | $238K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$182K to $255K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$186K to $238K
24.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | +9.0% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070403) | $224K | $251K | +11.9% | |
| Peaks Mill | $230K | $256K | +11.3% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070706) | $232K | $257K | +10.7% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070704) | $190K | $205K | +7.5% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070404) | $220K | $232K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | +9.0% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070802) | $237K | $275K | +15.9% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070102) | $262K | $302K | +15.4% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070705) | $424K | $483K | +13.8% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070101) | $173K | $195K | +12.2% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070403) | $224K | $251K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | $155K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070101) | $173K | $195K | $106K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 071002) | $166K | $182K | $84K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070602) | $155K | $173K | $74K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070601) | $124K | $129K | $68K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 071200) | $109K | $110K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Franklin, KY · ZIP 40601 · Census Tract 21073071101 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$209K
Downside (P10)
$174K
-17% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+9% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$329K
+58% by 2030
Base case: +9% by 2030, with a forecast range from -17% to +58%. The model forecasts this with 62% confidence.
| Year | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $120K | $114K | $192K | $190K | $204K | $209K | $210K | $217K | $227K | $212K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$88,608 | -$95,008 | -$17,108 | -$19,008 | -$4,808 | +$1,618 | +$8,604 | +$18,234 | +$3,530 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -42.5% | -45.5% | -8.2% | -9.1% | -2.3% | +0.8% | +4.1% | +8.7% | +1.7% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $182K | $176K | $174K | $186K | |||||||
| Upside (P90) | $255K | $282K | $329K | $238K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$182K to $255K
34.3% of median
Long-horizon band
$186K to $238K
24.5% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | +9.0% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070403) | $224K | $251K | +11.9% | |
| Peaks Mill | $230K | $256K | +11.3% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070706) | $232K | $257K | +10.7% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070704) | $190K | $205K | +7.5% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070404) | $220K | $232K | +5.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | +9.0% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070802) | $237K | $275K | +15.9% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070102) | $262K | $302K | +15.4% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070705) | $424K | $483K | +13.8% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070101) | $173K | $195K | +12.2% | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070403) | $224K | $251K | +11.9% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bald Knob | $208K | $227K | $155K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070101) | $173K | $195K | $106K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 071002) | $166K | $182K | $84K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070602) | $155K | $173K | $74K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 070601) | $124K | $129K | $68K | |
| Frankfort (Tract 071200) | $109K | $110K | $50K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
