Loading forecast data...
Loading forecast data...
View parcel and neighborhood forecasts, compare markets, or build with the API.
Loading forecast data...
Fayette, KY · ZIP 40505 · Census Tract 21067003300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$222K
Downside (P10)
$177K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$300K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $156K | $159K | $159K | $154K | $146K | $157K | $193K | $213K | $224K | $222K | $220K | $232K | $227K | $232K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$77,765 | -$65,465 | -$62,265 | -$63,065 | -$67,665 | -$75,365 | -$64,565 | -$28,565 | -$8,765 | +$2,435 | -$1,378 | +$9,895 | +$5,470 | +$9,969 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.1% | -29.5% | -28.1% | -28.5% | -30.5% | -34.0% | -29.1% | -12.9% | -4.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +4.5% | +2.5% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $185K | $184K | $177K | $207K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $280K | $296K | $300K | $267K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$185K to $280K
43.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$207K to $267K
25.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | +0.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003404) | $222K | $254K | +14.3% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003406) | $216K | $237K | +9.4% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003909) | $219K | $235K | +7.3% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003803) | $225K | $241K | +7.2% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002002) | $222K | $231K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | +0.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003914) | $308K | $365K | +18.4% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 004103) | $285K | $337K | +18.1% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 004005) | $464K | $546K | +17.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002400) | $457K | $528K | +15.6% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003908) | $378K | $436K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | $124K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 000300) | $184K | $201K | $73K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002001) | $117K | $126K | $71K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001000) | $132K | $135K | $69K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001800) | $158K | $177K | $68K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001100) | $85K | $91K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Fayette, KY · ZIP 40505 · Census Tract 21067003300 · 2027–2030 outlook · Forecasts as of March 2026
Current modeled value
$222K
Downside (P10)
$177K
-20% by 2030
Base Case (P50)
$227K
+2% by 2030
Upside (P90)
$300K
+35% by 2030
Base case: +2% by 2030, with a forecast range from -20% to +35%. The model forecasts this with 70% confidence.
| Year | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Median Value | $144K | $156K | $159K | $159K | $154K | $146K | $157K | $193K | $213K | $224K | $222K | $220K | $232K | $227K | $232K | |
| Growth $ vs 2026 | -$77,765 | -$65,465 | -$62,265 | -$63,065 | -$67,665 | -$75,365 | -$64,565 | -$28,565 | -$8,765 | +$2,435 | -$1,378 | +$9,895 | +$5,470 | +$9,969 | ||
| Growth % vs 2026 | -35.1% | -29.5% | -28.1% | -28.5% | -30.5% | -34.0% | -29.1% | -12.9% | -4.0% | +1.1% | -0.6% | +4.5% | +2.5% | +4.5% | ||
| Downside (P10) | $185K | $184K | $177K | $207K | ||||||||||||
| Upside (P90) | $280K | $296K | $300K | $267K |
The predictive band is relatively tight for this surface. Near-term outcomes are well constrained and remain comparatively stable through the forecast window.
Near-term band
$185K to $280K
43.0% of median
Long-horizon band
$207K to $267K
25.9% of median
Use these nearby areas to compare price level, upside potential, and forecast risk.
Areas with the most similar current median values
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | +0.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003404) | $222K | $254K | +14.3% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003406) | $216K | $237K | +9.4% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003909) | $219K | $235K | +7.3% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003803) | $225K | $241K | +7.2% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002002) | $222K | $231K | +4.4% |
Nearby areas where the model expects higher 5-year price growth
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | 5yr Change | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | +0.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003914) | $308K | $365K | +18.4% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 004103) | $285K | $337K | +18.1% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 004005) | $464K | $546K | +17.5% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002400) | $457K | $528K | +15.6% | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 003908) | $378K | $436K | +15.3% |
Nearby areas with narrower forecast ranges (less uncertainty)
| Area | Current Value | 5yr Expected | Spread | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington-Fayette | $226K | $227K | $124K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 000300) | $184K | $201K | $73K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 002001) | $117K | $126K | $71K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001000) | $132K | $135K | $69K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001800) | $158K | $177K | $68K | |
| Lexington-Fayette (Tract 001100) | $85K | $91K | $42K |
Forecasts are probabilistic model outputs, not guarantees. The model uses historical data and economic indicators; it does not observe property-specific conditions. This is not financial, investment, or real estate advice. Learn more about our methodology.
Model
Homecastr World Model (Schrödinger Bridge v12)
Forecast Horizon
2027 to 2030
Schema Version
forecast_queue
Citation
Hardesty Lewis, D. (2026). Homecastr Home Price Forecast. Retrieved from homecastr.com.
Data Sources
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
Deep dive into property-level home price forecasts for parcels in this area.
